Reggina vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
25.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1968 |
FCC
2 - 1
REG
37%
30%
33%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1968 |
MAN
1 - 1
REG
43%
30%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1968 |
REG
1 - 0
LIV
55%
27%
18%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1968 |
REG
0 - 0
COM
55%
26%
19%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
LEC
1 - 0
REG
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1968 |
GEN
0 - 1
SPA
47%
29%
24%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1968 |
SPA
1 - 1
BAR
53%
26%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1968 |
SPA
0 - 0
USF
51%
27%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1968 |
LAZ
1 - 1
SPA
47%
29%
24%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
SPA
0 - 2
REG
63%
23%
14%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |