New York RB vs Toronto FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New York RB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
RBN
3 - 1
CIN
37%
25%
38%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
RBN
2 - 2
MON
37%
25%
38%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
COR
1 - 1
RBN
44%
26%
31%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
PHU
0 - 0
RBN
46%
25%
30%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -2 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
RBN
2 - 2
DCU
55%
24%
20%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Toronto FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
MON
0 - 1
TOR
61%
22%
18%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
IMI
3 - 1
TOR
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 1
PHU
29%
24%
47%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 1
TOR
42%
25%
34%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
COC
4 - 0
TOR
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |