Recanatese vs Aurora Alto Casertano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.1%
Win probability
3.58
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.3%
6-0
5.3%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.6%
5-0
8.8%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.4%
4-0
12.3%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.7%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
5.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
5.9%
1.9%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.6%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
REC
18%
26%
56%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
SCA
2 - 2
REC
25%
26%
50%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
REC
0 - 1
SSS
66%
19%
15%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
UST
0 - 0
REC
24%
26%
51%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
CHI
1 - 0
REC
9%
21%
70%
|
47 | 20 | 27 | -2 |
Matches
Aurora Alto Casertano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
PIN
1 - 0
AAC
84%
12%
5%
|
11 | 39 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
AAC
0 - 0
UST
7%
15%
79%
|
9 | 35 | 26 | +2 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
MON
2 - 0
AAC
81%
14%
5%
|
9 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
SAN
4 - 0
AAC
89%
8%
3%
|
9 | 38 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
AAC
2 - 3
SSS
6%
13%
82%
|
9 | 36 | 27 | 0 |