Real Zaragoza vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
36%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2010 |
XER
3 - 2
ZAR
35%
26%
39%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
ZAR
1 - 0
ESP
55%
24%
22%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
DEP
0 - 1
ZAR
49%
26%
26%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
ZAR
1 - 2
RMA
19%
22%
59%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
ATH
0 - 0
ZAR
53%
23%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 0
VCF
38%
26%
36%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2010 |
ALM
4 - 2
VIL
29%
26%
45%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
VIL
1 - 4
FCB
16%
23%
61%
|
87 | 96 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
RAC
1 - 2
VIL
39%
26%
36%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 1
ATM
44%
25%
30%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |