Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Semi-finals

Global 5-3

Real Zaragoza vs Leeds United analysis

Real Zaragoza Leeds United
88 ELO 86
16.5% Tilt -13%
504º General ELO ranking 139º
32º Country ELO ranking 19º
ELO win probability
74.5%
Real Zaragoza
14.6%
Draw
10.9%
Leeds United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
Real Zaragoza
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
10.9%
Win probability
Leeds United
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO progression

Real Zaragoza
Leeds United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Real Zaragoza
Real Zaragoza
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Apr. 1966
ZAR
Real Zaragoza
5 - 1
Puertollano
PUE
90%
7%
3%
88 57 31 0
10 Apr. 1966
PUE
Puertollano
1 - 4
Real Zaragoza
ZAR
26%
25%
49%
88 57 31 0
03 Apr. 1966
ZAR
Real Zaragoza
4 - 0
Córdoba CF
CCF
80%
13%
8%
88 79 9 0
30 Mar. 1966
ZAR
Real Zaragoza
4 - 2
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
81%
11%
7%
87 82 5 +1
27 Mar. 1966
VCF
Valencia
0 - 0
Real Zaragoza
ZAR
52%
23%
25%
87 85 2 0

Matches

Leeds United
Leeds United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Apr. 1966
LEE
Leeds United
4 - 1
Everton
EVE
57%
22%
21%
86 85 1 0
12 Apr. 1966
LEE
Leeds United
0 - 1
Fulham
FUL
70%
18%
13%
87 77 10 -1
08 Apr. 1966
FUL
Fulham
1 - 3
Leeds United
LEE
40%
25%
34%
86 77 9 +1
04 Apr. 1966
LEE
Leeds United
2 - 0
Chelsea
CHL
51%
23%
26%
86 86 0 0
28 Mar. 1966
BPO
Blackpool
1 - 0
Leeds United
LEE
38%
26%
36%
86 78 8 0