Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Last 16
Global 6-5
Real Zaragoza vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
11.9%
8.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
MLL
0 - 0
ZAR
28%
26%
47%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1966 |
ZAR
0 - 0
FCB
66%
18%
16%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1966 |
RMA
2 - 0
ZAR
71%
17%
12%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
ZAR
3 - 2
ATH
76%
14%
9%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
MAL
0 - 1
ZAR
25%
25%
50%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1966 |
ABE
0 - 1
HOM
35%
23%
42%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1966 |
HOM
3 - 1
PAR
65%
19%
16%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1966 |
HOM
3 - 2
CEL
48%
22%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1966 |
ZAR
2 - 2
HOM
80%
11%
8%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1966 |
HOM
0 - 0
STJ
75%
15%
10%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |