Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 1-0
Real Zaragoza vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1975 |
FCB
0 - 0
ZAR
76%
16%
8%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1975 |
ZAR
3 - 1
CEL
81%
12%
8%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 1975 |
CEL
4 - 2
ZAR
45%
24%
31%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1975 |
MAL
1 - 0
ZAR
42%
29%
29%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
ZAR
2 - 1
FCB
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1975 |
FCB
0 - 0
ZAR
76%
16%
8%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1975 |
FCB
1 - 0
UES
89%
8%
3%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1975 |
UES
1 - 2
FCB
18%
25%
57%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1975 |
FCB
4 - 0
ATH
75%
17%
9%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
ZAR
2 - 1
FCB
52%
24%
24%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |