Sporting Atlético vs Arosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
16.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
CDO
2 - 1
SPB
54%
26%
20%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1990 |
SPB
2 - 2
AVI
47%
28%
26%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1990 |
CUL
1 - 1
SPB
55%
26%
20%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1990 |
SPB
1 - 0
LEG
40%
30%
30%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 1990 |
UPL
0 - 1
SPB
56%
23%
21%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
ARO
1 - 1
ASP
44%
28%
28%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1990 |
PON
0 - 3
ARO
67%
22%
12%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 1990 |
ARO
1 - 3
CDT
43%
28%
29%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1990 |
ARO
1 - 0
CDO
42%
31%
27%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 1990 |
AVI
2 - 0
ARO
67%
21%
12%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |