Real Sporting U19 B vs Deportivo Roces U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+167%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
1º
9º
1º
4
5º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
9º
|
2 | 79 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 77 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 60 |
3º
|
6.5% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 60 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 58 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
|
7º
|
4 | 58 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 54 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 52 |
8º
|
4.5% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 46 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 40 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 40 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 38 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 37 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 37 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 33 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 31 |
16º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 30 |
17º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 27 |
18º
|
19% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
50.5% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
49.5% | 97% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting U19 B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MAN
3 - 3
SPO
8%
13%
79%
|
19 | 6 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SPO
2 - 2
ROM
89%
8%
4%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
SPO
3 - 2
COV
73%
15%
12%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LLA
1 - 2
SPO
11%
16%
74%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SPO
2 - 0
JUV
91%
7%
2%
|
20 | 8 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Roces U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ROC
2 - 0
ATL
66%
19%
16%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
COL
0 - 0
ROC
37%
23%
41%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
SDL
3 - 3
ROC
50%
22%
28%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ROC
4 - 0
CDQ
76%
16%
8%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
COL
2 - 2
ROC
33%
23%
44%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |