Real Sitio vs El Espinar-San Rafael analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
12.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sitio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CAN
2 - 1
RSI
26%
19%
55%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
RSI
3 - 0
CAR
54%
21%
25%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
RSI
4 - 2
PRA
88%
8%
3%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
MOZ
1 - 4
RSI
8%
13%
80%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
RSI
4 - 1
COC
73%
15%
12%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
El Espinar-San Rafael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ESR
6 - 1
SLO
59%
19%
22%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
COC
5 - 2
ESR
54%
21%
25%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
SMM
5 - 2
ESR
40%
21%
40%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
PRA
2 - 5
ESR
22%
19%
59%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
ESR
2 - 2
ATC
53%
20%
28%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |