Real Santander vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
56.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
REA
0 - 0
CAR
23%
25%
51%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2014 |
PAT
2 - 0
REA
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
REA
1 - 2
CUC
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2014 |
REA
3 - 0
BUC
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2014 |
CHI
2 - 1
REA
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
ALI
0 - 2
CUC
50%
25%
24%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2014 |
ALI
0 - 1
CHI
36%
26%
38%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
BUC
3 - 0
ALI
23%
24%
53%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2014 |
PAT
1 - 0
ALI
36%
26%
38%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
ALI
0 - 2
ENV
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |