Real Salt Lake vs Chivas USA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Salt Lake
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
POR
1 - 0
RSL
21%
26%
53%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2011 |
RSL
0 - 1
MON
48%
26%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
MON
2 - 2
RSL
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
RSL
1 - 0
COR
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
NER
0 - 2
RSL
29%
27%
45%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Chivas USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
CHI
3 - 0
NER
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
SJE
1 - 2
CHI
52%
26%
23%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
VAN
0 - 0
CHI
41%
28%
32%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CHI
0 - 0
COC
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
TOR
1 - 1
CHI
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |