Racing U19 vs CD Covadonga U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.2%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
+5
7.1%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.5%
4.3%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
3º
9º
3º
10
7º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 76 |
1º
|
62% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 74 |
2º
|
59% | |
|
|
5º
|
16 | 60 |
3º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 54 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 53 |
5º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 44 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 43 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 36 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 34 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 32 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
10 | 32 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 30 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 30 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 24 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 24 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 21 |
16º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
2% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
77% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
16% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
5% | 67% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 32% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
VAD
2 - 2
REA
30%
25%
45%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
REA
6 - 1
ALA
53%
23%
24%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SDC
1 - 0
REA
16%
21%
64%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
REA
2 - 0
VER
80%
13%
7%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 1
REA
16%
21%
63%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
CD Covadonga U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
CHO
4 - 0
COV
57%
22%
21%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
COV
0 - 3
LUG
48%
23%
29%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ARO
3 - 1
COV
32%
25%
44%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
COV
3 - 1
ATP
62%
20%
18%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
BAN
2 - 0
COV
53%
22%
25%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |