Real Pharma vs FC Nyva Vinnytsya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
69.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.4%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-68%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
4º
14º
14º
33
7º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 65 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
51.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 39 |
8º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 32 |
10º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 25 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 24 |
13º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
82.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Pharma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2024 |
RPH
0 - 2
SST
19%
23%
58%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
RUT
1 - 0
RPH
33%
22%
45%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
RPH
0 - 1
FKK
37%
26%
38%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
FCD
2 - 0
RPH
65%
20%
16%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
RPH
0 - 3
FCZ
16%
21%
63%
|
35 | 63 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
FC Nyva Vinnytsya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
NYV
1 - 3
UCS
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 0
NYV
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
NYV
2 - 0
FKK
74%
16%
10%
|
53 | 23 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FCL
2 - 1
NYV
17%
22%
61%
|
53 | 28 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
FKT
1 - 1
NYV
32%
26%
42%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |