Real Oviedo vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
14.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
GDE
2 - 1
OVI
46%
28%
27%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1977 |
OVI
2 - 0
CUL
71%
17%
12%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1977 |
OVI
0 - 3
SAB
68%
20%
11%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
PUE
1 - 2
OVI
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
DEP
2 - 0
OVI
44%
29%
28%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1977 |
GAV
1 - 1
CAS
24%
25%
51%
|
62 | 30 | 32 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
CAS
0 - 0
DEP
60%
23%
16%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
GRA
1 - 0
CAS
61%
24%
16%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
CAS
3 - 1
CDT
55%
26%
20%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
MAL
0 - 0
CAS
58%
25%
17%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |