Série D Brazil Etapas Finales 1/16
Global 2-4
Real Noroeste vs Brasiliense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
41.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
REA
3 - 2
ITA
36%
28%
36%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
POR
3 - 0
REA
65%
22%
13%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
SER
2 - 2
REA
46%
28%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
REA
2 - 0
IFC
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
REA
2 - 0
DEM
63%
22%
15%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
ANA
0 - 2
BRA
37%
30%
34%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 0
CRA
65%
22%
13%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
BRA
3 - 1
DOM
78%
15%
7%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
MIX
2 - 1
BRA
16%
25%
60%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
URO
1 - 1
BRA
30%
29%
42%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |