Primera RFEF Grupo 2 round 16

Real Murcia vs RM Castilla analysis

Real Murcia RM Castilla
65 ELO 63
-19.5% Tilt -6.3%
2164º General ELO ranking 2033º
65º Country ELO ranking 64º
ELO win probability
35.9%
Real Murcia
28.3%
Draw
35.8%
RM Castilla

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
Real Murcia
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
35.8%
Win probability
RM Castilla
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Real Murcia
+8%
-8%
RM Castilla

Points and table prediction

Real Murcia
Their league position
RM Castilla
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
19
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Antequera CF
33
65
32%
Villarreal B
24
62
19.5%
Real Murcia
29
61
10.5%
Betis Deportivo
30
59
10.5%
Atlético B
26
58
9.5%
AD Ceuta FC
26
58
9%
Alcorcón
15º
20
56
11.5%
RM Castilla
16º
19
54
7%
UD Ibiza
13º
22
53
10.5%
AD Mérida
26
52
10º
9%
Algeciras CF
10º
24
50
11º
7%
Yeclano Deportivo
25
49
12º
10%
Hércules
25
49
13º
9%
Alcoyano
14º
22
48
14º
7.5%
Marbella FC
11º
23
46
15º
11%
Fuenlabrada
12º
22
45
16º
11.5%
Recreativo
18º
19
42
17º
12.5%
Sevilla At.
17º
19
42
18º
17%
At. Sanluqueño
19º
18
38
19º
23%
CF Intercity
20º
14
35
20º
40.5%
Expected probabilities
Real Murcia
RM Castilla
Promotion
19.5% 1.5%
Promotion play-offs
41% 20%
Mid-table
38% 71%
Relegation
1.5% 7.5%

ELO progression

Real Murcia
RM Castilla
Alcoyano
Betis Deportivo
Antequera CF
Hércules
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Real Murcia
Real Murcia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Nov. 2024
IBI
UD Ibiza
1 - 2
Real Murcia
MUR
51%
25%
25%
63 65 2 0
24 Nov. 2024
MUR
Real Murcia
0 - 0
At. Sanluqueño
SAN
56%
27%
18%
63 55 8 0
16 Nov. 2024
ALG
Algeciras CF
1 - 1
Real Murcia
MUR
32%
28%
41%
63 57 6 0
09 Nov. 2024
MUR
Real Murcia
1 - 1
Atlético B
ATB
39%
29%
32%
63 62 1 0
03 Nov. 2024
CEU
AD Ceuta FC
4 - 2
Real Murcia
MUR
42%
27%
31%
64 62 2 -1

Matches

RM Castilla
RM Castilla
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Nov. 2024
RMC
RM Castilla
6 - 0
AD Mérida
MAD
54%
25%
22%
62 61 1 0
24 Nov. 2024
FUE
Fuenlabrada
2 - 2
RM Castilla
RMC
31%
28%
42%
62 58 4 0
17 Nov. 2024
RMC
RM Castilla
1 - 2
Antequera CF
ANT
52%
25%
23%
63 63 0 -1
08 Nov. 2024
RMC
RM Castilla
5 - 0
CF Intercity
INT
62%
22%
16%
62 55 7 +1
02 Nov. 2024
ATB
Atlético B
1 - 1
RM Castilla
RMC
45%
26%
29%
61 62 1 +1