Real Murcia vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
45.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1945 |
RMA
3 - 1
MUR
81%
12%
8%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1945 |
VCF
2 - 0
MUR
82%
11%
7%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1945 |
MUR
0 - 0
ATH
37%
23%
40%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1945 |
ATM
0 - 0
MUR
80%
12%
8%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1945 |
MUR
2 - 3
ALC
61%
19%
20%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1945 |
OVI
3 - 0
VCF
50%
21%
29%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1945 |
ATH
2 - 4
OVI
74%
14%
12%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1945 |
OVI
3 - 3
ATM
58%
20%
23%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1945 |
ALC
1 - 1
OVI
35%
21%
45%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1945 |
OVI
1 - 0
ESP
64%
18%
18%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |