Real Murcia vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
28.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ALC
0 - 0
MUR
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
MUR
1 - 1
SPO
28%
27%
45%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
LUG
1 - 1
MUR
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
SAB
2 - 1
MUR
38%
27%
36%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
MUR
2 - 2
CCF
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
HER
3 - 0
SAB
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
CCF
4 - 2
HER
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
HER
2 - 1
UDL
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
GIR
2 - 2
HER
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
HER
0 - 1
RJA
63%
23%
14%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |