Real Murcia vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
11.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1972 |
UES
3 - 2
MUR
61%
25%
14%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
MUR
2 - 0
ELC
38%
31%
31%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
SEV
1 - 1
MUR
79%
15%
7%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
MUR
2 - 1
VAD
49%
28%
23%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1972 |
VAL
0 - 0
MUR
57%
26%
17%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1972 |
BAR
2 - 0
HER
39%
30%
32%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
CDT
0 - 0
BAR
72%
18%
9%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
BAR
1 - 2
CUL
39%
27%
35%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
GIM
2 - 0
BAR
58%
24%
18%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1972 |
BAR
3 - 0
PON
33%
30%
37%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +2 |