Real Murcia vs Bilbao Ath. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
30.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
BET
1 - 1
MUR
63%
23%
14%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1990 |
MUR
1 - 0
SSC
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1990 |
PAL
1 - 1
MUR
41%
29%
30%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1990 |
XER
0 - 4
MUR
47%
28%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1990 |
MUR
2 - 2
LEV
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
ATH
1 - 0
DEP
61%
22%
18%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1990 |
UDL
3 - 1
ATH
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1990 |
ATH
3 - 3
RAC
66%
20%
15%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1990 |
ATH
1 - 1
SAB
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1990 |
ESP
2 - 1
ATH
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |