Real Murcia vs Algeciras CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1967 |
LEV
1 - 0
MUR
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1967 |
MUR
2 - 0
CAD
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1967 |
EUR
3 - 0
MUR
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1967 |
MUR
1 - 1
MAL
44%
28%
27%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1967 |
LLE
1 - 1
MUR
39%
29%
32%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Algeciras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1967 |
ALG
1 - 2
CDC
56%
23%
20%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1967 |
CAS
2 - 1
ALG
62%
22%
17%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1967 |
ALG
3 - 0
BAD
48%
26%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1967 |
REC
1 - 1
ALG
60%
23%
18%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1967 |
ALG
1 - 1
MLL
28%
30%
41%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |