Real Murcia vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
BAR
2 - 0
MUR
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
MUR
4 - 2
ZAR
48%
25%
28%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
CCF
2 - 1
MUR
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
MUR
1 - 0
TER
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1978 |
VAD
2 - 1
MUR
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
ALA
3 - 1
RJA
63%
24%
13%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
OSA
2 - 2
ALA
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1978 |
FCB
2 - 0
ALA
90%
7%
3%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
ALA
1 - 0
CAS
57%
26%
18%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1978 |
ALA
1 - 0
FCB
18%
24%
58%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | +2 |