Real Murcia U19 vs Ranero Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
35.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+147%
-65%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
7º
13º
8º
18
9º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
99% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 61 |
3º
|
1% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 36 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
34% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
56.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
PAT
0 - 2
MUR
55%
22%
23%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
MUR
1 - 6
ALB
53%
22%
25%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ELC
3 - 0
MUR
82%
13%
6%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
MUR
91%
7%
3%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
MUR
0 - 2
ALB
26%
24%
50%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ranero Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
RAN
1 - 2
ALZ
44%
25%
31%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
KEL
2 - 2
RAN
43%
26%
31%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
RAN
0 - 0
CDR
19%
22%
60%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
RAN
2 - 3
ATL
10%
17%
73%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
VIL
4 - 0
RAN
87%
9%
4%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |