Real Murcia U19 B vs CFS El Progreso Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
9.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
3º
2º
14
10º
18º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 72 |
1º
|
37% | |
|
|
2º
|
22 | 69 |
2º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 68 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 65 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 61 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 53 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 52 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 51 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 46 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
14 | 45 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 44 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 44 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 41 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 37 |
14º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 35 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 27 |
16º
|
26.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 24 |
17º
|
30% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 19 |
18º
|
57% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
23.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
76.5% | 89.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 10.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia U19 B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
CLU
1 - 3
REA
14%
17%
69%
|
19 | 8 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
REA
3 - 0
EDM
82%
12%
7%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
LOR
0 - 1
REA
22%
21%
57%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
REA
2 - 1
UCA
51%
22%
27%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CDM
0 - 4
REA
22%
20%
59%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CFS El Progreso Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
PRO
3 - 2
CAR
28%
21%
51%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ARC
3 - 0
PRO
54%
21%
26%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
PRO
2 - 1
FUT
39%
22%
39%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
CIE
5 - 2
PRO
74%
15%
11%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PRO
1 - 3
PIN
34%
22%
44%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |