Real Murcia U19 B vs CFS El Progreso Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
9.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
4º
3º
8
10º
18º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
15 | 73 |
1º
|
32% | |
|
1º
|
22 | 72 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
|
3º
|
19 | 72 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 67 |
4º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 60 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 54 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 53 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 51 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 47 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 46 |
10º
|
5.5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 40 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
8 | 40 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 40 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 37 |
14º
|
10% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 32 |
15º
|
10.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 28 |
16º
|
14% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 24 |
17º
|
23.5% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 23 |
18º
|
35% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
30% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
70% | 80% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 20% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia U19 B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
CLU
1 - 3
REA
14%
17%
69%
|
19 | 8 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
REA
3 - 0
EDM
82%
12%
7%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
LOR
0 - 1
REA
22%
21%
57%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
REA
2 - 1
UCA
51%
22%
27%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CDM
0 - 4
REA
22%
20%
59%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CFS El Progreso Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
PRO
3 - 2
CAR
28%
21%
51%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ARC
3 - 0
PRO
54%
21%
26%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
PRO
2 - 1
FUT
39%
22%
39%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
CIE
5 - 2
PRO
74%
15%
11%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PRO
1 - 3
PIN
34%
22%
44%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |