Real Madrid vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
7.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 1970 |
ATH
0 - 2
RMA
53%
23%
23%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1970 |
RMA
0 - 1
ATH
73%
17%
11%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1970 |
FCB
1 - 1
RMA
57%
22%
21%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1970 |
RMA
2 - 0
FCB
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1970 |
RMA
4 - 1
UDL
79%
13%
7%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 1970 |
ZAR
1 - 0
VCF
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1970 |
VCF
2 - 0
ZAR
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1970 |
RCF
2 - 3
VCF
32%
25%
43%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1970 |
VCF
1 - 1
RCF
79%
13%
8%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1970 |
GRA
2 - 1
VCF
32%
29%
39%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |