Real Madrid vs Las Palmas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
7.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
DBU
1 - 0
RMA
41%
26%
33%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
BET
0 - 2
RMA
28%
28%
44%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1975 |
RMA
4 - 0
HER
82%
12%
6%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1975 |
RMA
4 - 1
DBU
83%
12%
5%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1975 |
OVI
0 - 0
RMA
26%
28%
47%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Las Palmas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1975 |
UDL
2 - 4
VCF
52%
25%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1975 |
ESP
1 - 0
UDL
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1975 |
UDL
2 - 1
RSO
58%
24%
19%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1975 |
SEV
3 - 0
UDL
43%
28%
29%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 1975 |
RMA
5 - 0
UDL
78%
15%
7%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |