Copa del Rey Semi-finals
Global 1-8
Real Madrid vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
10.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1955 |
VAD
1 - 4
RMA
36%
23%
41%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1955 |
RMA
1 - 1
VAD
83%
11%
7%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1955 |
RMA
1 - 0
VAD
83%
11%
6%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1955 |
ATM
2 - 4
RMA
45%
21%
33%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1955 |
DEP
3 - 3
RMA
27%
23%
50%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1955 |
VCF
4 - 1
SEV
71%
15%
14%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1955 |
SEV
5 - 1
VCF
62%
18%
20%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1955 |
CUL
3 - 2
SEV
33%
23%
45%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1955 |
SEV
3 - 0
CUL
88%
8%
4%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1955 |
ATH
2 - 2
SEV
74%
14%
12%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |