Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 5-1
Real Madrid vs Racing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
6.2%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
CAD
1 - 0
RMA
23%
25%
52%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1977 |
RAC
0 - 0
RMA
31%
25%
44%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
RMA
4 - 2
ATM
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
FCB
2 - 3
RMA
65%
19%
16%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
RMA
4 - 0
BET
71%
18%
11%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
RAC
4 - 0
ESP
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1977 |
RAC
0 - 0
RMA
31%
25%
44%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
SEV
1 - 0
RAC
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
RAC
0 - 3
SLA
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1977 |
UDL
3 - 0
RAC
68%
18%
14%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |