Real Madrid vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.4%
7.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
ESP
5 - 4
RMA
40%
23%
37%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
RMA
3 - 2
RAC
79%
12%
9%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
SEV
3 - 2
RMA
38%
24%
39%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
RMA
4 - 1
ATH
64%
18%
18%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
HER
0 - 2
RMA
33%
24%
43%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
CEL
4 - 0
HER
58%
18%
24%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
FCB
2 - 0
CEL
71%
16%
14%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
CEL
5 - 1
ZAR
69%
16%
15%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
CEL
4 - 2
BET
52%
20%
28%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
ATM
4 - 1
CEL
63%
17%
20%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |