Real Madrid vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
5.5%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1971 |
SPO
0 - 1
RMA
31%
26%
43%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1971 |
RMA
1 - 0
RSO
79%
15%
7%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1971 |
GRA
2 - 0
RMA
21%
28%
51%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
RMA
4 - 0
SEV
77%
15%
8%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1971 |
VCF
1 - 0
RMA
41%
27%
32%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1971 |
MAL
0 - 0
ESP
55%
26%
20%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1971 |
ELC
1 - 1
MAL
52%
27%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1971 |
MAL
1 - 0
SAB
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
CEL
0 - 0
MAL
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1971 |
MAL
1 - 0
ZAR
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |