Champions League Last 16
Global 4-4
Real Madrid vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
21.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
RMA
0 - 0
BET
71%
18%
11%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
RSO
1 - 2
RMA
24%
25%
51%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
RMA
0 - 1
LEV
79%
14%
7%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
VIL
1 - 0
RMA
27%
27%
46%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
MLL
0 - 1
RMA
24%
25%
51%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
AAA
1 - 0
BYM
19%
23%
58%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
BYM
1 - 0
ARB
73%
18%
10%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2007 |
FCN
3 - 0
BYM
20%
24%
57%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2007 |
BYM
0 - 0
RTV
72%
18%
10%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2007 |
BVB
3 - 2
BYM
21%
25%
55%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |