Real Madrid vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
14.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1943 |
GRA
2 - 2
RMA
42%
23%
35%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1943 |
RMA
3 - 5
SEV
66%
17%
17%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1943 |
DEP
2 - 2
RMA
36%
24%
40%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1943 |
ATH
1 - 0
RMA
70%
15%
15%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1943 |
RMA
11 - 1
FCB
56%
19%
25%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1943 |
ATM
4 - 3
SAB
85%
10%
5%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1943 |
OVI
4 - 1
ATM
55%
21%
25%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1943 |
ATM
7 - 0
CEL
68%
17%
16%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1943 |
ATH
4 - 1
ATM
77%
13%
11%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1943 |
ATM
1 - 3
ATH
58%
19%
23%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |