Real Madrid vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
6.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2008 |
JUV
2 - 1
RMA
33%
26%
41%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
ATM
1 - 2
RMA
35%
26%
39%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
RMA
2 - 2
ESP
80%
13%
7%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2008 |
ZEN
1 - 2
RMA
24%
25%
51%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
BET
1 - 2
RMA
21%
25%
54%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
ATH
0 - 1
FCB
20%
24%
56%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
SEV
4 - 0
ATH
76%
16%
9%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
ATH
0 - 1
GET
44%
27%
29%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2008 |
REC
1 - 1
ATH
43%
27%
31%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
ATH
2 - 0
VAD
48%
25%
27%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |