Copa del Rey Semi-finals
Global 1-1
Real Madrid vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
14.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1984 |
ATH
2 - 1
RMA
57%
22%
21%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1984 |
RMA
2 - 0
MLL
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1984 |
OSA
1 - 1
RMA
34%
26%
41%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1984 |
RMA
3 - 0
DEP
85%
12%
4%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1984 |
RMA
2 - 2
SEV
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1984 |
ATH
2 - 1
RMA
57%
22%
21%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1984 |
VAD
0 - 0
ATH
34%
27%
39%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1984 |
ATH
1 - 0
SPO
76%
16%
9%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1984 |
ATH
2 - 0
SPO
76%
16%
8%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1984 |
MUR
0 - 1
ATH
36%
27%
37%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |