Real Madrid vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.1%
23.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
ESP
4 - 3
RMA
53%
20%
27%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1951 |
RMA
4 - 2
CAT
84%
10%
6%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1951 |
UDL
1 - 4
RMA
27%
21%
52%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1951 |
RMA
0 - 2
RSO
70%
15%
14%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1951 |
RSO
1 - 0
RMA
59%
18%
22%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
ATH
10 - 1
ZAR
89%
7%
4%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1951 |
FCB
1 - 0
ATH
66%
17%
17%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1951 |
ATH
4 - 2
SPO
84%
9%
6%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1951 |
ATH
1 - 2
FCB
72%
14%
14%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1951 |
FCB
0 - 0
ATH
69%
15%
16%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | +1 |