Real Jaén vs FC Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
17.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
REC
2 - 2
RJA
40%
30%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
RJA
3 - 1
BET
64%
22%
14%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
RJA
0 - 1
UCA
45%
30%
25%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
JUM
2 - 0
RJA
20%
29%
51%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
RJA
0 - 1
MAD
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
FC Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 0
UCA
30%
32%
38%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
JUM
0 - 0
CAR
30%
27%
43%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 1
MAD
45%
28%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
ALM
0 - 0
CAR
44%
26%
30%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 2
SEV
38%
31%
32%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |