Real Estelí vs Sport Sébaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
9.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
2º
1º
30
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
DEP
0 - 2
EST
11%
23%
67%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
EST
4 - 0
JAP
82%
13%
5%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
EST
2 - 0
UNA
83%
13%
5%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
EST
3 - 3
MAN
74%
16%
10%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 4
EST
35%
23%
42%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Sport Sébaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
MAN
3 - 4
CDS
65%
20%
16%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
CDS
1 - 0
ORM
89%
8%
3%
|
54 | 14 | 40 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
CDS
2 - 0
JAP
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
DEP
2 - 2
CDS
30%
25%
45%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2023 |
CDS
1 - 2
DEP
60%
20%
20%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |