Real España vs Lobos UPNFM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
23%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
4º
1º
15
8º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
31 | 34 |
1º
|
47% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 32 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 31 |
3º
|
30% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 31 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 25 |
5º
|
86.5% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 22 |
6º
|
42.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 21 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
15 | 18 |
8º
|
79% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 14 |
9º
|
59.5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 12 |
10º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
81% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
19% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 96.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2025 |
MAR
1 - 0
RES
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
RES
3 - 0
JUT
51%
27%
22%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2025 |
OLI
1 - 1
RES
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
RES
1 - 1
RSO
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
CDG
2 - 0
RES
26%
28%
47%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Lobos UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2025 |
JAG
2 - 1
MOT
34%
27%
40%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2025 |
VIC
0 - 0
JAG
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
JAG
1 - 0
JUT
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2025 |
JAG
1 - 1
CDG
54%
25%
22%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2025 |
OLI
2 - 0
JAG
64%
21%
16%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |