Real España vs Choloma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
18.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
RES
2 - 3
MAR
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2012 |
DSA
1 - 0
RES
19%
25%
56%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
RES
1 - 0
MOT
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
VID
0 - 3
RES
36%
26%
38%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
RES
1 - 0
RSO
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Choloma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
CHO
2 - 1
DSA
61%
23%
17%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 2
CHO
53%
26%
22%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
RSO
2 - 1
CHO
49%
27%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
CHO
0 - 0
OLI
39%
30%
31%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
CHO
4 - 2
VID
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |