Clausura Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 0-4
Real España vs Olancho FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
23.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2023 |
RES
2 - 0
JAG
62%
21%
18%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
JAG
0 - 0
RES
27%
25%
48%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
ALI
0 - 0
RES
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
RES
3 - 2
VID
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
RES
3 - 1
JAG
60%
23%
18%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Olancho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
ALI
0 - 0
RES
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
RSO
0 - 2
ALI
30%
27%
43%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
ALI
1 - 1
OLI
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
HNP
1 - 1
ALI
28%
26%
45%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
JAG
1 - 0
ALI
31%
28%
41%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |