Real Cartagena vs Boca Juniors de Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
15.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
LEO
2 - 1
CAR
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
LEO
1 - 2
CAR
44%
28%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
LLA
40%
30%
30%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
COR
0 - 1
CAR
35%
28%
36%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 0
QUI
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Boca Juniors de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
BJC
1 - 1
FOR
14%
23%
63%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
QUI
2 - 3
BJC
62%
24%
14%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
BJC
1 - 2
AFC
34%
28%
38%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 0
BJC
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
BJC
1 - 0
COR
22%
27%
52%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |