Real Avilés Industrial vs SD Lenense Proinastur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
6.4%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
AVI
0 - 2
SES
23%
24%
53%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
AVI
1 - 0
CDC
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CDC
0 - 0
AVI
41%
27%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
AVI
0 - 2
OUR
30%
29%
41%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
COM
3 - 1
AVI
40%
28%
32%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
SD Lenense Proinastur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
LEN
1 - 1
CAU
29%
25%
46%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
LLA
0 - 0
LEN
51%
23%
25%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
LEN
3 - 0
LUA
58%
22%
20%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
AVI
3 - 0
LEN
28%
26%
46%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
LEN
0 - 3
UDL
9%
18%
73%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | -2 |