Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 6-1
Real Avilés Industrial vs Marino de Luanco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
5.4%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
ARA
1 - 1
AVI
45%
28%
28%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1996 |
AVI
1 - 1
CCF
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 1996 |
CCF
2 - 0
AVI
71%
17%
11%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 1996 |
AVI
4 - 2
RCF
55%
23%
23%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 1996 |
LEV
0 - 1
AVI
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Marino de Luanco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
MAR
0 - 0
TAL
25%
29%
47%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
MAR
0 - 0
SIE
68%
19%
13%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1996 |
PCF
0 - 1
MAR
37%
28%
35%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
MAR
2 - 3
LEA
63%
21%
16%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
RIB
1 - 2
MAR
33%
28%
39%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |