Cusco FC vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
9.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cusco FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
EST
3 - 0
GAR
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
GAR
1 - 0
BIN
57%
25%
19%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
HUA
3 - 1
GAR
42%
26%
33%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
GAR
2 - 0
SAN
29%
27%
45%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
CAN
2 - 0
GAR
28%
29%
43%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
COM
1 - 4
HUA
33%
26%
40%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CAN
1 - 0
COM
54%
26%
20%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2018 |
COM
1 - 1
MEL
33%
28%
39%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
COM
2 - 1
MUN
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
SBO
1 - 0
COM
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |