Perú - Liga 1 Fase 1 round 15

Cusco FC vs CA Manucci analysis

Cusco FC CA Manucci
71 ELO 61
4.5% Tilt -2.3%
952º General ELO ranking 2052º
Country ELO ranking 19º
ELO win probability
62.1%
Cusco FC
21.8%
Draw
16%
CA Manucci

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
Cusco FC
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.1%
Win probability
CA Manucci
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cusco FC
+9%
+6%
CA Manucci

Points and table prediction

Cusco FC
Their league position
CA Manucci
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
10º
14
14º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Universitario de Deportes
40
40
100%
Sporting Cristal
40
40
100%
FBC Melgar
38
38
100%
Alianza Lima
33
33
100%
Cusco FC
29
29
100%
ADT de Tarma
28
28
100%
Cienciano
26
26
100%
Comerciantes Unidos
22
22
100%
Los Chankas
21
21
100%
Univ. César Vallejo
10º
20
20
10º
100%
Atlético Grau
11º
19
19
11º
0%
Sport Boys Association
12º
19
19
12º
100%
Sport Huancayo
13º
19
19
13º
0%
UTC Cajamarca
14º
16
16
14º
100%
Deportivo Garcilaso
15º
14
14
15º
0%
Alianza Atl. Sullana
16º
14
14
16º
100%
CA Manucci
17º
14
14
17º
0%
Unión Comercio
18º
9
9
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Cusco FC
CA Manucci
Play-offs for the title
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Cusco FC
CA Manucci
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cusco FC
Cusco FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 May. 2024
SRP
Los Chankas
2 - 0
Cusco FC
GAR
44%
25%
30%
71 66 5 0
28 Apr. 2024
GAR
Cusco FC
2 - 0
Cienciano
CIE
44%
26%
31%
70 71 1 +1
21 Apr. 2024
SPC
Sporting Cristal
2 - 0
Cusco FC
GAR
63%
21%
16%
71 78 7 -1
15 Apr. 2024
GAR
Cusco FC
3 - 2
ADT de Tarma
ADT
41%
27%
32%
70 73 3 +1
08 Apr. 2024
COM
Comerciantes Unidos
0 - 1
Cusco FC
GAR
50%
25%
26%
69 69 0 +1

Matches

CA Manucci
CA Manucci
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 May. 2024
MAN
CA Manucci
1 - 1
Deportivo Garcilaso
CDG
45%
27%
28%
62 62 0 0
26 Apr. 2024
HUA
Sport Huancayo
1 - 0
CA Manucci
MAN
63%
22%
16%
62 71 9 0
20 Apr. 2024
MAN
CA Manucci
2 - 0
UTC Cajamarca
UTC
36%
28%
37%
61 66 5 +1
14 Apr. 2024
MEL
FBC Melgar
2 - 0
CA Manucci
MAN
73%
18%
9%
61 78 17 0
07 Apr. 2024
MAN
CA Manucci
0 - 4
Alianza Lima
ALI
20%
28%
52%
61 78 17 0