Reading vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
40.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
WBA
1 - 0
REA
58%
24%
19%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
NOR
1 - 1
REA
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2022 |
REA
2 - 1
SWA
30%
26%
44%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
BIR
3 - 2
REA
44%
27%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
REA
1 - 0
COV
34%
26%
39%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 1
WAT
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
SWA
4 - 0
WAT
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
WAT
0 - 2
MIL
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
HUR
0 - 2
WAT
32%
28%
40%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
WAT
0 - 0
HUL
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |