Reading vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
13.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2001 |
ASV
1 - 0
REA
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2001 |
COL
2 - 0
REA
36%
27%
38%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
REA
1 - 1
BCF
77%
16%
8%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2001 |
BOU
1 - 0
REA
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
REA
2 - 0
WYC
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
NOR
1 - 1
SWI
39%
28%
32%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2001 |
SWI
2 - 0
BRE
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
CHE
4 - 0
SWI
49%
27%
24%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2001 |
POR
0 - 2
SWI
55%
25%
20%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
SWI
2 - 2
TRA
40%
26%
33%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |