Championship round 1

Reading vs Preston North End analysis

Reading Preston North End
66 ELO 68
-5.6% Tilt 7.9%
1165º General ELO ranking 759º
51º Country ELO ranking 38º
ELO win probability
39.2%
Reading
28.4%
Draw
32.4%
Preston North End

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
Reading
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
32.4%
Win probability
Preston North End
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Reading
Preston North End
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Reading
Reading
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jul. 2016
REA
Reading
1 - 1
Bournemouth FC
BOU
84%
13%
4%
66 14 52 0
23 Jul. 2016
WIM
Wimbledon FC
2 - 0
Reading
REA
68%
18%
14%
66 76 10 0
19 Jul. 2016
SWI
Swindon Town
1 - 2
Reading
REA
28%
23%
49%
66 57 9 0
16 Jul. 2016
LIN
Lincoln City
4 - 1
Reading
REA
12%
18%
70%
66 46 20 0
15 Jul. 2016
REA
Reading
3 - 1
Al-Taawoun
ALT
27%
25%
49%
66 74 8 0

Matches

Preston North End
Preston North End
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jul. 2016
BOL
Bolton Wanderers
0 - 0
Preston North End
PNE
22%
24%
54%
69 55 14 0
26 Jul. 2016
MOR
Morecambe
1 - 4
Preston North End
PNE
14%
20%
66%
69 46 23 0
23 Jul. 2016
PNE
Preston North End
1 - 1
Stoke City
STO
26%
27%
47%
69 84 15 0
19 Jul. 2016
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
1 - 3
Preston North End
PNE
22%
24%
54%
69 55 14 0
09 Jul. 2016
CHO
Chorley
1 - 2
Preston North End
PNE
14%
21%
65%
69 47 22 0