Reading vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
25.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
QPR
4 - 1
REA
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
WBA
3 - 1
REA
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
REA
0 - 2
MID
40%
27%
34%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2009 |
PNE
1 - 2
REA
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
REA
1 - 1
WAT
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
LEI
2 - 0
CRY
49%
27%
24%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
LEI
0 - 0
DER
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
COV
1 - 1
LEI
38%
28%
35%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2009 |
MID
0 - 1
LEI
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
LEI
1 - 2
PNE
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |